Not Keir for long… Podium set up outside No10 as Starmer prepares to announce his exit – while Andy Burnham heads to Westminster


Keir Starmer is poised to announce his departure shortly as Andy Burnham closes in on taking control of Downing Street.

Aides are setting up a podium outside the famous black door of No10 with his resignation seemingly imminent. 

Sir Keir’s chief of staff has reportedly told workers inside the building that the premier is going.   

Mr Burnham – who has rallied huge support from Labour MPs since romping home in the Makerfield by-election last week – is due to be sworn in at the Commons at 2.30pm.

Sir Keir is also slated to do a statement on the G7 summit in the House this afternoon, which would be difficult unless he has provided some clarity on his intentions beforehand.  

Baroness Jacqui Smith, seen as close to Sir Keir, appeared to confirm he is on the way out as she toured broadcast studios for the Government this morning.

The education minister used the past tense as she said she ‘would have been happy for him to continue’ as premier – although she also urged people not to ‘get ahead of themselves’.

The PM returned to Downing Street from his Chequers residence early this morning, after spending the weekend locked in talks with wife Victoria and close aides.

In other twists and turns today:

  • A minister has warned that Mr Burnham must call a snap general election if he takes over from Sir Keir;
  • Markets are giving their verdict on a turbulent weekend, with fears a new PM could tear up fiscal rules and lurch Left;
  • The timetable for any succession is unclear, with allies of Mr Burnham hoping for a ‘coronation’ without the need for a formal leadership contest; 
  • If Sir Keir goes Britain will be on track for its seventh PM in a decade since the Brexit referendum. 

Staff were busily cleaning the famous steps outside Downing Street this morning – but as yet there is no sign of a podium for the PM to make an announcement

The Prime Minister's position is hanging by a thread and he could make way for Andy Burnham as soon as today

The Prime Minister’s position is hanging by a thread and he could make way for Andy Burnham as soon as today

How could Andy Burnham become PM? 

Contest 

Under Labour’s rules, a leadership contest is triggered if one challenger can get nominations from 81 MPs.

This is a bar Andy Burnham would easily reach. Any other contender – such as Wes Streeting – would also need to meet the same threshold.

As the incumbent Keir Starmer would automatically be on the ballot paper if he chose to fight – meaning his voluntary departure would make a contest much less likely.

The timetable for a vote by party members would be then set by the ruling National Executive Committee, but would be likely to run through the summer.

The winner would then become PM.  

Coronation 

The preferred outcome of many Burnham supporters – and indeed MPs more widely – is to avoid a contest.

That would involve Sir Keir voluntarily stepping down, and Mr Burnham persuading other contenders not to run for the job.

The Makerfield result has increased the ex-mayor’s leverage, and he could offer Cabinet jobs to rivals as sweeteners. 

In that scenario Mr Burnham could take over as PM almost immediately – unless there is some sort of deal with Sir Keir to string the process out. 

Sir Keir reiterated his defiance on Friday after Mr Burnham stunned the political world by securing a 9,000 majority over Reform in Makerfield.

He insisted he would fight any challenge to his leadership.  

But the mood music had dramatically shifted by yesterday, when Business Secretary Peter Kyle – one of Sir Keir’s dwindling band of loyalists – was sent on TV to say the premier was reflecting on his situation. 

Lady Smith, a former home secretary who was elevated to the House of Lords by Mr Starmer two years ago, told Times Radio: ‘My understanding from those I’ve spoken to who are close to the Prime Minister yesterday is that he has spent the weekend thinking very carefully about the future of the country and what is the best thing to do for the British people.

‘He has also, of course, been engaged in government — responding to the terrible train crash, speaking to the chief executive of the East Midlands Ambulance Service, and responding to the attack in Edinburgh.

‘But he always thinks carefully about the future of this country and the interests of the British people — he puts them ahead of the interests of the party — and he will make his own decisions in light of what everybody can see is a considerable amount of pressure and turbulence.’

Last night Donald Trump declared Sir Keir ‘will resign’ as he fuelled expectations the Prime Minister will announce he is quitting Downing Street on Monday.

The US President, who met Sir Keir at last week’s G7 summit in France, waded into Labour’s leadership crisis to claim Sir Keir will be standing down.

‘Keir Starmer will resign as Prime Minister of The United Kingdom,’ he posted on his TruthSocial site in his latest intervention into British politics.

‘He failed badly on two very important subjects- IMMIGRATION AND ENERGY (OPEN NORTH SEA OIL!). I wish him well! President DJT’

The PM is said to have reached the conclusion that his position is no longer tenable after talking to Cabinet colleagues, No 10 advisers, union leaders and key Labour donors.

Sources insisted Sir Keir, who is this weekend discussing his future with his wife, Victoria, at their country retreat Chequers, had yet to make a final decision. 

But while the PM considers his position, it is not yet known if Mr Burnham will succeed Sir Keir unchallenged or whether Labour MPs will insist on a full-blown leadership contest against a rival such as Wes Streeting.

Andy Burnham is being urged to tear up Labour’s tax pledges to fund his costly spending plans.

The challenger to Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership made a series of expensive commitments during his by-election campaign – but is yet to set out how he will fund them. 

While fighting for the Makerfield seat, Mr Burnham said he would honour Labour’s manifesto tax pledges, which include not raising income tax, National Insurance or VAT. 

But allies of the new MP are now pushing him to drop the pledge or risk being ‘hamstrung’ in office.

Labour ministers and MPs on the Left of the party have rallied around Mr Burnham – including his right-hand woman Louise Haigh, Anneliese Midgley, who helped to run his campaign, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband.

One pro-Burnham minister told the Daily Mail: ‘That manifesto was written at a certain point in time but so much has changed. I think Andy has an opportunity to say he’s a new PM and in order to bring about real change, it is going to require some big changes.

‘That includes on tax, where he is going to need to raise revenues to deal with the huge pressures in defence, in the NHS, in getting our high streets where they need to be… I think if we stick to those tax pledges he is going to be hamstrung from the start and people could become disillusioned very quickly.’

Toeing the line? Andy Burnham in Cheshire yesterday after his Makerfield by-election victory

The outgoing Greater Manchester mayor has committed to slashing business rates for pubs and hospitality venues, nationalising water, energy and transport, a massive investment in council housing and a revival of the northern leg of HS2.

Mr Burnham is yet to outline how he will pay for these promises, made in the heat of his by-election campaign, which could cost taxpayers tens of billions of pounds.

Government estimates put the cost of nationalising the water industry alone at about £100billion – meaning Mr Burnham could have to look again at the tax commitments Labour was elected on in order to find cash for his economic agenda. Last night the Tories warned Mr Burnham’s spending plans will damage the economy, as they said that he has ‘high taxes, high borrowing in his DNA’.

Shadow Chancellor Sir Mel Stride told this newspaper: ‘Andy Burnham wants to tear up Labour’s already disastrous economic legacy and go even further. This will punish hard-working people who do the right thing.

‘Rachel Reeves has raised taxes by over £60billion while letting the welfare bill spiral out of control. Burnham wants to double down on all her mistakes, with yet more taxes and more reckless spending and borrowing.’

Mr Burnham, photographed in Cheshire yesterday wearing Birkenstock sandals ahead of his return to Westminster today, spooked the financial markets last year when he said the Government should be less ‘in hock’ to the bond markets. But during his by-election campaign, he said he supported the Chancellor’s fiscal rules – U-turning just weeks after suggesting they could be changed to fund defence spending.

There are those around Mr Burnham still advocating for such a move. On Friday Lord O’Neill, a former Treasury minister, said the Government should be ‘bolder about borrowing to invest’.

The economist, who Mr Burnham has drafted in to boost his team of advisers, suggested more could be done to ‘explore’ Rachel Reeves’s fiscal rules in order to boost spending.

UK gilt yields, which determine the cost of government borrowing, rose after Mr Burnham’s victory cleared the way for his bid to oust Sir Keir. During his campaign he was likened to Robin Hood’s ‘Sheriff of Nottingham’ after he boasted of hitting Manchester with the highest tax of any mayor.

Reform UK’s Treasury spokesman Robert Jenrick last night warned that ‘Burnham will show his true colours’ upon entering No 10. 

‘Higher taxes to fund wasteful Net Zero spending, houses for illegal migrants, and benefits for those who don’t need them,’ he said. ‘Labour never changes and working Britons will be forced to pay for it all.’

Meanwhile, Business Secretary Peter Kyle told Sky News that Mr Burnham must maintain ‘fiscal discipline’. 

Ms Reeves’s fiscal rules state that day-to-day spending must be matched by tax revenues, so that Labour can only borrow to invest and not to fund spending.

Jacqui Smith admitted that she 'would have been happy for Keir Starmer to continue' as Prime Minister - effectively confirming he is leaving

Jacqui Smith admitted that she ‘would have been happy for Keir Starmer to continue’ as Prime Minister – effectively confirming he is leaving



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