America’s midterm elections are four months away, and newly released polling shows a blaring warning sign for Republicans.
Although Republicans currently control the White House, the US Senate, and the US House of Representatives, there has been constant gridlock between the US House and the US Senate, preventing the Senate from passing many bills sent to it by the House.
Voters across the country, therefore, seem willing to give Democrats a chance to hold some power.
New polling conducted by JL Partners for the Daily Mail shows that if the election was held tomorrow, 50 percent of likely voters would select a Democratic candidate at the ballot box.
Just 42 percent would select a Republican candidate, while eight percent of respondents, all likely voters, were unsure of who they would vote for.
Turnout is an issue that causes headaches for political operatives in both parties, particularly in midterm election years, but voting enthusiasm is high with both Democrats and Republicans.
Fifty-seven percent of Republicans and 56 percent of Democrats who responded to the Daily Mail’s poll noted that they were ‘very enthusiastic’ to vote in this year’s midterms.
Younger voters, aged 18 to 29, across party lines, were least likely to ‘very enthusiastic’ to vote in the midterms. Only 42 percent of voters in that demographic noted that response, the lowest of any other category.
Mayor Zohran Mamdani comes on stage at a rally in support of Congressional candidates Brad Lander, Claire Valdez, and Darializa Avila Chevalier at King’s Theater in Brooklyn, New York on June 18, 2026. ‘Our Team. Our Year GOTV Rally’ with Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders, in New York, on June 18 2026
President Donald Trump arrives at the opening of the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library on the Freedom 250 train, Wednesday, July 1, 2026, in Medora, North Dakota
Democrats, however, are still trying to find their own identity.
A number of Democratic incumbents have been ousted by progressive challengers in recent weeks.
In New York City, three candidates backed by socialist mayor Zohran Mamadani won their respective primaries last month, including one of Mamadani’s former mayoral primary opponents, Brad Lander.
Lander defeated Dan Goldman, who was seeking his third term after being first elected in 2022.
Fellow New Yorker Adriano Espaillat, chairman of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, was also ousted in last month’s primaries by Mamdani-backed Darializa Avila Chevalier. Espaillat, aged 71, was first elected in 2016.
The trend of progressive upsets continued in Colorado on Tuesday when nearly 30-year incumbent Representative Diana DeGette was defeated by 29-year-old Democratic socialist Melat Kiros.
Progressive candidates are also refusing to back their party’s current Capitol Hill leaders, particularly in races for the US Senate.
In the battle for the Democratic US Senate nomination in Michigan, two of the three candidates, Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed, have said they would not back US Senate Minority Leader Schumer to be the party’s majority leader if Democrats regain control of the upper chamber.
