1 ex-penny share that could almost double from here, according to this broker


Young female couple boarding their plane at the airport to go on holiday.

Image source: Getty Images

Hostelworld (LSE:HSW) was battered by the pandemic and had fallen into penny share territory by late 2020. Since a nadir of 47p, though, the AIM-listed stock has more than doubled to reach 110p today.

Canaccord Genuity thinks it can head even higher, though. Earlier this week, the broker gave the stock a 205p price target.

Should you buy Hostelworld Group Plc shares today?

Before you decide, please take a moment to review this report first. Despite ongoing uncertainties from US tariffs to global conflicts, Mark Rogers and his team believe many UK shares still trade at substantial discounts, offering savvy investors plenty of potential opportunities to learn about.

That’s why this could be an ideal time to secure this valuable research – Mark’s analysts have scoured the markets to reveal 5 of his favourite long-term ‘Buys’. Please, don’t make any big decisions before seeing them.

While a single analyst’s view could be shrugged off (they’re sometimes very wide of the mark), it’s worth noting that other analysts also think the stock is undervalued. Their average target is 63% higher at 181p.

So, might there be a potentially lucrative opportunity to consider here? Let’s dive in.

A new revenue stream

Hostelworld is an online travel agent with a £137m market cap that connects travellers with 18,000+ budget hostel and accommodation partners across more than 180 countries.

However, to break beyond this niche category, it’s aiming to become “the world’s leading social travel platform“. What does that mean?

Well, imagine you’re travelling solo to Rio, but want to meet up with people for drinks or fun activities. Hostelworld provides the solution, offering chat rooms with other bookers and AI-powered event recommendations.

I saw this in action recently in Warsaw. A diverse group of travellers I spoke to had met up in the Old Town for drinks and food via the app. Importantly, they weren’t all hostel-dwellers, as some were staying in hotels and Airbnb apartments.

They had joined this meetup through buying temporary Social Passes that granted access to the app’s social network. So this opens up a whole new revenue stream beyond just hostel bookings.

So what?

The social travel platform is catching on. Last year, community members reached 3.4m, with messaging among them growing 81% year on year.

Social Passes were only launched in November, so these figures should grow significantly in 2026.

From a business perspective, there are a number of benefits I see here:

  • The potential monetisation of millions of solo travellers staying in alternative accommodation 
  • Social Pass is extremely profitable revenue (a near-zero marginal cost)
  • As more travellers join, this creates a network effect that improves the firm’s competitive advantage 
  • Millions of travellers messaging and planning meetups produces a goldmine of data (better recommendations, targeted ads, etc) 

There are two other key benefits I think are worth dwelling on. First, social members book approximately twice as frequently on Hostelworld as non-members. So it’s making the platform more sticky.

Also, this should lower marketing costs (particularly on Google) as more travellers start coming directly to the app. In the second half of 2025, direct marketing costs fell to 45% of revenue, down from 48% the year before.

Every booking, every message and every connection adds to a proprietary data set…and as the network grows it generates richer data, which drives better matching, which attracts more members. 
CEO Gary Morrison

How cheap is Hostelworld?

Looking ahead, the biggest risk to bookings is the inflationary impact of the Middle East conflict. Also, rising unemployment among young people isn’t ideal (most hostel bookers are young).

However, these risks looked more than baked in to me. Based on forecasts for 2027, the forward-looking earnings multiple is just 7.2.

Adding in a well-covered 3.3% forward dividend yield, the stock appears to offer tremendous value. I think Hostelworld’s worth considering at 110p.

Should you invest £5,000 in Hostelworld Group Plc right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers and his team have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Twelfth Magpie Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets.

And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Hostelworld Group Plc made the list?

 


Ben McPoland has no position in any of the companies mentioned. 



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