By Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter
The ADP National Employment Report for May 2025 indicates that private sector employment increased by 37,000 jobs, and annual pay was up 4.5% year-over-year. This report is an independent, high-frequency measure of the private-sector labor market, based on actual, anonymized payroll data from over 25 million U.S. employees.
Job Market Overview: According to Dr. Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP, hiring is losing momentum after a strong start to the year, with the pace of hiring in May reaching its lowest level since March 2023. Despite this, pay growth remained robust for both job-stayers and job-changers.
Job Statistics by Sector, Region, and Establishment Size:
Change by Industry Sector:
- Overall Private Employment Change: 37,000
- Goods-producing sectors saw a decline of 2,000 jobs, with specific changes including:
- Natural resources/mining: -5,000 jobs
- Construction: +6,000 jobs
- Manufacturing: -3,000 jobs
- Service-providing sectors saw an increase of 36,000 jobs, with specific changes including:
- Trade/transportation/utilities: -4,000 jobs
- Information: +8,000 jobs
- Financial activities: +20,000 jobs
- Professional/business services: -17,000 jobs
- Education/health services: -13,000 jobs
- Leisure/hospitality: +38,000 jobs
- Other services: +4,000 jobs
Change by U.S. Regions:
- Northeast: -19,000 jobs
- New England: -16,000 jobs
- Middle Atlantic: -3,000 jobs
- Midwest: +20,000 jobs
- East North Central: +23,000 jobs
- West North Central: -3,000 jobs
- South: -5,000 jobs
- South Atlantic: +20,000 jobs
- East South Central: +19,000 jobs
- West South Central: -44,000 jobs
- West: +37,000 jobs
- Mountain: +35,000 jobs
- Pacific: +2,000 jobs
Change by Establishment Size:
- Small establishments (1-49 employees): -13,000 jobs
- 1-19 employees: -6,000 jobs
- 20-49 employees: -7,000 jobs
- Medium establishments (50-499 employees): +49,000 jobs
- 50-249 employees: +51,000 jobs
- 250-499 employees: -2,000 jobs
- Large establishments (500+ employees): -3,000 jobs
Pay Insights:
- Year-over-year pay growth for job-stayers was 4.5%, which was little changed in May.
- Pay for job-changers rose 7%, remaining unchanged from April’s revised figure.
Median Change in Annual Pay for Job-Stayers by Industry Sector:
- Goods-producing:
- Natural resources/mining: 4.5%
- Construction: 4.6%
- Manufacturing: 4.6%
- Service-providing:
- Trade/transportation/utilities: 4.2%
- Information: 4.2%
- Financial activities: 5.2%
- Professional/business services: 4.2%
- Education/health services: 4.6%
- Leisure/hospitality: 4.8%
- Other services: 4.3%
Median Change in Annual Pay for Job-Stayers by Firm Size:
- Small firms:
- 1-19 employees: 2.6%
- 20-49 employees: 4.1%
- Medium firms:
- 50-249 employees: 4.8%
- 250-499 employees: 4.9%
- Large firms: