One Nation has stormed ahead to first place and overtaken Labor as its popularity surges in NSW, according to a new poll.

Roy Morgan state polling revealed Pauline Hanson’s party would receive 30 per cent of the primary vote – compared to just 25 per cent for the ALP – if an election was held today. 

The Liberal-National Colaition followed far behind on 19 per cent, while minor parties and independents accounted for the remaining 26 per cent.

Such a poll would likely end in a hung parliament.

In the three-party preferred stakes, Labor is at 44 per cent, One Nation at 33.5 per cent and the LNP at 22.5 per cent. 

Chris Minns is still the preferred state premier when respondents were given the option to choose between him or Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane. 

‘A look at the demographic results shows Premier Chris Minns leading amongst both genders, all four key age groups, in both Sydney and Country New South Wales, and amongst ALP supporters, Greens supporters, One Nation supporters, and supporters of independent and Other Parties,’ Roy Morgan said. 

Fifty-six per cent said Minns had done a good job during his first term, and 25 per cent disagreed. 

One Nation has overtaken Labor as popularity surges in NSW, according to a new poll

The results come after One Nation soared ahead into first place in Victoria, a state where an election is due later this year. 

The survey, conducted between 13 and 16 February, showed One Nation at 26.5 per cent, narrowly ahead of Labor on 25.5 per cent, while the Liberal–National Coalition trails at 21.5 per cent. 

The Greens sat on 13.5 per cent, with 13 per cent backing independents and minor parties, setting the scene for a potential hung state parliament if an election were held today. 

Despite One Nation’s surprise primary vote lead, Premier Jacinta Allan’s Labor party still came out ahead on preferences.

On a classic two-party-preferred basis, Labor leads 52 to 48 against the Jess Wilson’s Coalition and 52.5 to 47.5 against One Nation.

On a three-party-preferred measure, Labor holds 44.5 per cent, ahead of One Nation on 29.5 per cent and the Coalition on 26 per cent.

In a hypothetical run-off between the Coalition and One Nation, the Liberals and Nationals would win decisively, 56 to 44, thanks to Labor voters preferencing One Nation last.

Allan faces grim results, with 51 per cent of voters saying Wilson would make a better premier, compared to just 42.5 per cent for Allan.

Chris Minns is still the preferred state premier when respondents were given the option to choose between him or Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane

Wilson leads among men, all major age groups, and in both Melbourne and regional Victoria.

Allan’s personal approval rating sits at just 30.5 per cent, while 67.5 per cent of respondents disapprove of her performance.

Wilson enjoys a 53 per cent approval rating.

The poll surveyed 2,462 Victorians.